Publications

* All papers (PDFs); * Collective Behavior (PDFs); * Ecosystem dynamics (PDFs).

You can also check my Google Scholar ID and ORCID

Manuscripts (in review/with Preprints):

MOHAMMED Aamir Sadiq, Ananda Shikhara Bhat, Vishwesha Guttal and Rohini Balakrishnan, 2024, Spatial structure could explain the maintenance of alternative reproductive tactics in tree cricket males: https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2024.03.25.586515v1 Twitter/X Summary Thread.

Ananda Shikhara Bhat and Vishwesha Guttal, 2024, Eco-evolutionary dynamics for finite populations and the noise-induced reversal of selection, bioRxiv: https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2024.02.19.580940v1. Twitter/X Summary Thread.

Pratiush, Utkarsh, Arshed Nabeel, Vishwesha Guttal, and Prathosh AP. 2023, “Discovering mesoscopic descriptions of collective movement with neural stochastic modelling.” arXiv:2303.09906: https://arxiv.org/abs/2303.09906

Arshed Nabeel, Ashwin Karichannavar, Shuaib Palathingal, Jitesh Jhawar, Danny Raj M, Vishwesha Guttal, 2022, PyDaddy: A Python package for discovering stochastic dynamical equations from timeseries data, arxiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2205.02645

Peer-Reviewed Journal Publications: 

2023:

42) Arshed Nabeel, Vivek Jadhav, Danny Raj M, Cl’ement Sire, Guy Theraulaz, Ram’on Escobedo, Srikanth K. Iyer and Vishwesha Guttal, 2023, Data-driven discovery of stochastic dynamical equations of collective motion, Physical Biology, 20: 056003, PDF [Data and Codes]

41) Rathore, Akanksha, Ananth Sharma, Nitika Sharma, Colin J. Torney, and Vishwesha Guttal. 2023, Multi-Object Tracking in Heterogeneous environments (MOTHe) for animal video recordings. PeerJ Life 11:e15573, doi: https://peerj.com/articles/15573/ (also at bioRxivhttps://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.01.10.899989v2.full) [PDF] [Data and Codes]

40) Akanksha Rathore, Kavita Isvaran and Vishwesha Guttal, 2023, Lekking as collective behaviour, Phil. Trans. R. Soc. B, 378: 20220066, doi: https://doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2022.0066, Download PDF ; [Data and Codes]

2022:

39)  Hazra DK, Pujari BS, Shekatkar SM, Mozaffer F, Sinha S, Guttal Vishwesha, et al. (2022) Modelling the first wave of COVID-19 in India. PLoS Comput Biol 18(10): e1010632. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1010632 [Data and Codes]

38) Sukumaran, S. K., Paul, P., Guttal, Vishwesha., Holla, B., Vemula, A., Bhatt, H., … & ADBS Consortium. (2022). Abnormalities in migration of neural precursor cells in familial bipolar disorder. Disease Models & Mechanisms, 15: dmm049526.

37) Bidyut Sarania, Vishwesha Guttal, Krishnapriya Tamma, 2022 The absence of alternative stable states in vegetation cover of northeastern India. Royal Society Open Science, 9: 211778;  PDF [Data and Codes]

36) Vivek Jadhav, Vishwesha Guttal and Danny Raj M “Randomness in the choice of neighbours promotes cohesion in mobile animal groups.” 2022. Royal Society Open Science, Vol 9: 220124; PDF [Data and Codes]

2021:

35) Sabiha Majumder, Ayan Das, Appilineni Kushal, Sumithra Sankaran, and Vishwesha Guttal, 2021, “Finite-size effects, demographic noise, and ecosystem dynamics.” The European Physical Journal Special Topics, 230: 3389–3401, doi: https://doi.org/10.1140/epjs/s11734-021-00184-z, PDF, [Codes and Data]

2020

34)  Jitesh Jhawar and Vishwesha Guttal, 2020, Noise-induced Effects in Collective Dynamics and Inferring Local Interactions from Data, Phil. Tran. Roy Soc B, 375: 20190381. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2019.0381; [arxiv]PDF; [Codes and Data]

33) Jitesh Jhawar, Richard G. Morris, U. R. Amith-Kumar, M. Danny Raj, R. Harikrishnan, Tim Rogers and Vishwesha Guttal, 2020, Noise-Induced Schooling of Fish, Nature Physics, 16: 488–493  doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41567-020-0787-yView PDFPDF;  Codes and Data

Popular summary on our blog and also a twitter thread. Covered in various Indian and International media outlets.  

Popular summary in Kannada on our blog:

ಪ್ರಾಣಿಗಳ ಗುಂಪಿನ ಚಲನೆಯ ಅತಿ ಸರಳವಾದ ನಿಯಮ!

32) Nikunj Goel, Vishwesha Guttal, Simon A Levin and Carla Staver, 2020, Dispersal increases the resilience of tropical savanna and forest distributions, The American Naturalist, 195: 833-850 doi: https://doi.org/10.1086/708270 bioRxiv, 476184. PDF ; Data and Codes

Lay Summary at The Am Nat.

This paper received the Best theoretical ecology paper award by Ecological Society of America

See below for Kannada Summary of the paper.

31) Manvi Sharma, Suhel Quader, Vishwesha Guttal, Kavita Isvaran, 2020, The enemy of my enemy: multiple interacting selection pressures lead to unexpected anti-predator responses, Oecologia, 192: 1-12, doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00442-019-04552-4 Download PDF

  • Highlighted Student Research

2019

30) Sumithra Sankaran, Sabiha Majumder, Ashwin Viswanathan and Vishwesha Guttal, Clustering and correlations: Inferring resilience from spatial patterns in ecosystems, 2019, Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 10: 2079-2089, doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/2041-210X.13304 Download PDF;  Data and codes.

Summary of the work on our blog and a twitter thread.

The paper also has a Kannada Abstract (ಕನ್ನಡ ಸಾರಾಂಶ). Do check!

29) Majumder, Sabiha, Krishnapriya Tamma, Sriram Ramaswamy, and Vishwesha Guttal. 2019, Inferring critical thresholds of ecosystem transitions from spatial data. Ecology, 100:e02722; doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/ecy.2722 PDF of Maintext; PDF of Maintext+SI;  Data and codes. 

28) Gokul Nair, Athmanathan Senthilnathan, Srikanth Iyer, and Vishwesha Guttal, 2019, Fission-fusion dynamics and group-size dependent composition in heterogeneous populations, Physical Review E99, 032412, doi: https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevE.99.032412  arXiv:1711.06882 [nlin.AO],  Data and codes,  Download PDF. 

2018

27) Jaideep Joshi and Vishwesha Guttal, 2018, Demographic noise and cost of greenbeard can facilitate greenbeard cooperation, Evolution, 72:2595-2607, doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/evo.13615  Download PDF.

26) Alexandre Genin, Sabiha Majumder, Sumithra Sankaran, Alain Danet, Vishwesha Guttal, Florian Schneider, Sonia Kefi, 2018, Monitoring ecosystem degradation using spatial data and the R package spatialwarnings,  Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 9: 2067-2075, doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/2041-210X.13058 Download PDF; Download the R-Package spatialwarnigs and source codes. 

25) Hari Sridhar and Vishwesha Guttal, 2018, Friendship across species borders: factors that facilitate and constrain heterospecific sociality, Phil. Trans. Royal Society of London B, 373: 20170014. doi:https://doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2017.0014 Download PDF;  (Data are part of SI of the paper). 

Media coverage:

Costs and benefits: Why birds of a feather sometimes don’t flock together in Indian Express, by Amitabh Sinha
Friends without Borders, in Deccan Herald, by Annie Megan Santamaria
ಜಾತಿಭೇದವಿಲ್ಲದ ಪ್ರಾಣಿ ಪ್ರಪಂಚ, in Prajaavaani, by Gubbi-Labs

24) Alexandre Génin*, Sabiha Majumder*, Sumithra Sankaran*, Florian D Schneider, Alain Danet, Miguel Berdugo, Vishwesha Guttal, Sonia Kefi, 2018, Indicators of regime shifts in ecological systems with spatially heterogeneous stressors, Ecological Indicators, 94:520-533 doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2017.10.071 Download PDF (*These authors contributed equally to this work). 

23) Sumithra Sankaran*, Sabiha Majumder*, Sonia Kefi, Vishwesha Guttal, 2018, Implications of being discrete and spatial for detecting early warning signals of regime shifts, Ecological Indicators, 94:503-511 doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2017.11.040  Download PDF (*These authors contributed equally to this work). 

22) Chen Ning, Kailiang Yu, C Jayaprakash, Vishwesha Guttal, 2018, Rising variability, not slowing down, as a leading indicator of a stochastically driven abrupt transition in a dryland ecosystem, The American Naturalist, 191: E1 E14, doi:https://doi.org/10.1086/694821 Download PDF: Maintext and SI.  Data and Codes via Dryad.  

Media coverage:

Access the recommendation on F1000Prime as being of special significance by Donald DeAngelis

Changes in dryland ecosystems, in Deccan Herald by Suma M of Gubbi Labs.

There is also a Lay summary by Am Nat.

2017

21) Jaideep Joshi, Iain D Couzin, Simon A Levin, Vishwesha Guttal, 2017, Mobility can promote the evolution of cooperation via emergent self-assortment dynamics, PLoS Computational Biology. 13(9):e1005732. doi:https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1005732 Download PDF.  Data and Codes on Github: Active system& Passive systems.

geb12609-toc-0001

20) Stephanie Eby*, Amit Agrawal*, Sabiha Majumder, Andew Dobson and Vishwesha Guttal, 2017, Alternative stable states and spatial indicators of critical slowing down along a spatial gradient in a savanna ecosystem,  Global Ecology and Biogeography, 26: 638-649; doi:https://doi.org/10.1111/geb.12570 Download PDF;  Codes and Data are available on Github.  (*These authors contributed equally to this work). 

Highlights: This publication was featured with a front cover image.

2013-2016

19)  Vishwesha Guttal, Srinivas Raghavendran, Nikunj Goel, and Quentin Hoarau. 2016, Lack of Critical Slowing Down Suggests that Financial Meltdowns Are Not Critical Transitions, yet Rising Variability Could Signal Systemic Risk,  PLoS ONE, 11(1): e0144198. doi:https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0144198 Download PDFData and Codes

Highlights: This publication was covered by Natura Asia with an article titled “Ecological science theory analyses stock market crashes”

18) Amit Badhuri, Srinivas Raghavendra, Vishwesha Guttal, 2015, On the Systemic Fragility of Finance Led Growth, Metroeconomica, 66: 158-186. doi:https://doi.org/10.1111/meca.12070 Download PDF

17) Sonia Kefi*, Vishwesha Guttal*, William A Brock, Stephen R Carpenter, Aaron M Ellison, Valerie N Livina, David A Seekel, Marten Scheffer, Egbert H van Nes, Vasilis Dakos, 2014, Early warning signals of ecological transitions: Methods for spatial patterns, PLoS ONE 9(3): e92097. (*These authors contributed equally to this work). doi:https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0092097 Download PDF. (Data and Codes: See Genin et al 2018 where we formally develop the R-Package spatialwarnigs and also source codes).

16) Vishwesha Guttal*, C. Jayaprakash*, Omar P. Tabbaa*,  2013, Robustness of early warning signals of regime shifts in time-delayed ecological models, Theoretical Ecology, 6:271-283. (*All authors contributed equally to this manuscript and the names are listed in alphabetical order). doi:https://doi.org/10.1007/s12080-013-0194-4 PDF

15) A. Catherine Markham, Vishwesha Guttal, Susan C Alberts, Jeanne Altmann. 2013, When good neighbors don’t need fences: Temporal landscape partitioning among baboon social groups, Behavioral Ecology and Sociobiology67:875-884. doi:https://doi.org/10.1007/s00265-013-1510-0 PDF.

2010-2012

14) Christos C Ioannou, Vishwesha Guttal, Iain D Couzin, 2012, Predatory fish select for coordinated collective motion in virtual prey. Science. 337: 1212-1215. doi:https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1218919 A videoon YouTube. Download PDF.

Highlights: 
Perspectives, Science
Telegraph, India
National Public Radio
The Economist
Ed Yong @ Discover blog.

13) Vishwesha Guttal*, Pawel Romanczuk*, Stephen J Simpson, Gregory A Sword, Iain D Couzin, 2012, Cannibalism as a driver of the evolution of phase polyphenism in locusts, Ecology Letters, Vol 15:1158-1166 [*co-first authors]. doi:https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1461-0248.2012.01840.x PDF.

Highlights:
Texas A&M AGRILIFE
Max-Planck Institute Press Release (in German)

12) Vasilis Dakos, Stephen R. Carpenter, William A. Brock, Aaron M. Ellison, Vishwesha Guttal, Anthony R. Ives, Sonia Kefi, Valerie Livina, David A. Seekell, Egbert H. van Nes, Marten Scheffer, 2012, Methods for detecting early warnings of critical transitions in time series: Illustrated using simulated ecological data, PLoS ONE. 7(7): e41010. doi:https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0041010 PDF

11) Vishwesha Guttal, Frederick Bartumeus, Gregg Hartvigsen, Andrew Nevai, 2011. Variability in seed retention time as a mechanism for animal mediated long distance dispersal, PLoS ONE 6(12): e28447. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0028447. doi:https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0028447 PDF

10) Vishwesha Guttal, Iain D Couzin, 2011, Leadership, collective motion and the evolution of migratory strategies, Communicative and Integrative Biology, 4:294 – 298. doi:https://doi.org/10.4161/cib.4.3.14887 PDF.

9) Vishwesha Guttal, Iain D. Couzin, 2010, Social interactions, information use and the evolution of collective migration, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, USA. 107:16172-16177. doi:https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1006874107 PDF. Also see: Movies 1 and 2.

Highlights:
From the Cover of PNAS
In This Issue of PNAS
Commentary by Simpson and Sword in PNAS
Commentary by Ramaswamy in J. Club for Cond Mat Phys
New York Times., Wired Science, DNA

2009 and earlier

(8) Vishwesha Guttal, C. Jayaprakash. 2009, Spatial variance and spatial skewness: Leading indicators of regime shifts in spatial ecological systems, Theoretical ecology, 2:3-12. doi:https://doi.org/10.1007/s12080-008-0033-1 PDF

7) Vishwesha Guttal, C. Jayaprakash. 2008, Changing Skewness: An early warning signal of regime shifts in ecological systems, Ecology Letters 11:450-460. doi:https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1461-0248.2008.01160.x PDF

Highlight: Faculty of 1000 Biology

6) Vishwesha Guttal, C Jayaprakash, 2007, “Self-organization and productivity in semi-arid ecosystems: Implications of seasonality in rainfall”, Journal of Theoretical Biology, 248: 490-500. doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtbi.2007.05.020 PDF

5) Vishwesha Guttal, C. Jayaprakash, 2007, “Impact of noise on bistable ecological systems”,Ecological Modelling, 201: 420-428. doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2006.10.005 PDF

4) Vishwesha Guttal, Ralf Bundschuh, 2006, “A Model for Folding and Aggregation in RNA Secondary Structures”,Physical Review Letters, 96, 018105 (2006). doi:https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevLett.96.018105 PDF

Highlight: Virtual Journal of Biological Physics

3) Vishwesha Guttal, David Stroud, 2006, “Nonsaturating magnetoresistance and Hall coefficient reversal in a model composite
semiconductor”, Physical Review B, 76(2006): 085202. doi:https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevB.73.085202 PDF

2) Vishwesha Guttal, David Stroud, 2005, “A model for a Macroscopically Disordered Conductor with an Exactly Linear High-Field Magnetoresistance “, Physical Review B (Rapid Communications) 71, 201304 (2005). doi:https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevB.71.201304 PDF

1) Debashish Chowdhury, Vishwesha Guttal, Katsuhiro Nishinari and Andreas Schadschneider, 2002, “A Cellular Automata model of flow in ant-trails: non-monotonic variation of speed with density”, Journal of Physics A: Mathematical and General: 35, L575-L577 (2002). doi:https://doi.org/10.1088/0305-4470/35/41/103 PDF.

Book Chapter(s):

1) Jitesh Jhawar, Richard Morris, and Vishwesha Guttal, 2019, Deriving mesoscopic models of collective behaviour for finite populations, In Handbook of Statistics Vol 40: Integrated Population Biology and Modeling  (edited by Arni Srini Rao and C R Rao), Part B, 551-594. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/bs.host.2018.10.002;  Pre-print from Arxiv; Codes and data.  Download PDF

Unpublished Preprint(s):

Vishwesha Guttal, Sandeep Krishna, and Rahul Siddharthan. “Risk assessment via layered mobile contact tracing for epidemiological intervention.” medRxiv (2020). [Data and Codes]

General articles

6) Kartik Shanker and Vishwesha Guttal, “A tale of two biologies: distinctions in philosophy and practice between organismal and sub-organismal science”, 2021, Current Science, 120:463-465. PDF.

5) Vishwesha Guttal, “Experiments with active learning methods in theoretical ecology” https://rapidecology.com/2018/06/06/experiments-with-active-learning-methods-in-theoretical-ecology/, 2018, Rapid Ecology Blog.

4) Vishwesha Guttal, “Discovering facts: Finding the longest day with school children”, 2015. Resonance. Vol 20:254-259. PDF.

3) Vishwesha Guttal, Ecology: From Individuals to Collectives. A physicist’s perspective on ecology. 2014, Resonance, Vol. 19:368-375. PDF.

2) Vishwesha Guttal, “YETI in Guwahati”, Current Science, 2012, Vol 102:1357-1359. PDF.

1) Vishwesha Guttal, “A brief introduction to the philosophy of science”, Purnapramati School Souvenir, Jan, 2012. PDF.

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